Echelon Insights recently published a poll that has some major news for Donald Trump. The poll results found that 48 percent of voters surveyed in swing states would back Trump for his third run for the White House. In comparison, just 41 percent of voters in the same swing states back Biden.
The polling firm did attempt to survey those who participated with Trump and Biden in a head-to-head race. In this line of questioning Biden was up by only a point. The poll was conducted with 1,020 likely voters and had a margin of error of 3.9 percent. This would make the straight head-to-head race a pure toss-up.
I'm tracking polling for Biden versus Trump, DeSantis, and every other candidate on RacetotheWH. It even includes an electoral college tracker, that shows how many states they are leading in. https://t.co/y2E97v1m2j
— Logan Phillips (@LoganR2WH) June 30, 2023
The pollster Patrick Basham of the Democracy Institute tweeted, “Not a recipe for [Joe Biden’s] reelection,” referencing a survey cited by Breitbart News. The conservative outlet reported that there were “7 in 10 Voters Say U.S. in State of ‘Cultural and Economic Decline‘”.
The pollster Richard Baris similarly observed the trend in polling data. He wrote back in July 2022 “Trump leads Biden by a larger margin than Republicans lead Democrats now on the Generic Ballot. Blaming SCOTUS for overturning Roe is nice and convenient for these screwups, but it’s not the reason.”
🇺🇲 2024 Presidential Election Polling Trends by Echelon Insights (A/B)
April:
(D) Biden 47%
(R) Trump 42%Swing States
(D) Biden: 47% (D+5)
(R) Trump: 42%
——
JUNE:
(D) Biden: 45%
(R) Trump: 44%Swing States
(R) Trump: 48% (R+7)
(D) Biden: 41% pic.twitter.com/3nAKJS84NO— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 4, 2023
Platform Mag published an interview with the same pollster in January. Mr. Baris stated, “No Republican [like Trump] has led consistently like this since maybe Richard Nixon in his reelection bid. It is really worth pointing that out…We have polled Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, and Elizabeth Warren- nobody can touch him. He is way ahead.”
New polling reveals that a majority of Americans believe Trump's federal trial should take place before the 2024 general election https://t.co/AbF384LoPE
— Morning Joe (@Morning_Joe) July 8, 2023
He continued by saying, “Right now, Donald Trump is the strongest candidate. I know some people don’t want to hear that, but it is the truth. When we look at our polling, we have to go back to many years in history to find a Republican candidate who led their Democratic opponent as much as Donald Trump is leading Joe Biden by such a large amount nationally and so consistently in our polling. Or in any polling! Harvard-Harris just had Trump up by six over Biden.”
